Everyone knows about the internet, but do people understand the movement to online purchasing of property. One new company is eXP Realty, it is an online company with agents across the country and now has 40,000 agents across the WORLD!
They have partners – mortgage brokers, title company, Hazard insurance, movers, utility connections, and of course hundred of of agents in every state for relocation. It is a complete system of real estate buying and selling. Everything can be located on the internet now- Check out eXp Realty or call me
520-834-5705 Robin Patch and Tucson real Estate Appraisal
We have you covered for all your Real Estate needs and investments!
Don’t over pay or over buy- Let the eXp erts help you.
A Housing nightmare, can it happen again?
Have we really turned the corner on housing since the 2006 , in Tucson- yes? Some neighborhoods have certainly recovered and some NEVER will go up that high again. High prices were on paper only and in channels of loan mortgages rather than in value. Always be aware of the difference. Even though you have a lot of positive housing numbers, rents high, endless tenants available, but housing can be sensitive to politics.
Consider CHOP zone ,in Seattle, inner city land taken over by protesters, you as the owner still pay ownership costs – taxes, insurance, interest mortgage, and repair costs, however you have NO access. Just like that your value went down- can it recover? It depends on a lot of outside factors you have no control over- remember you are still paying. Owning real estate is serious business ,you still need to buy property from an accounting perspective and always have emergency funds in reserve.
Fourteen years ago the worst economic housing pattern occurred in history, without anyone realizing it. The collapse of the U.S. housing market, has now recovered from the 14 year low , but in 20 states it has begun a slow tick upward from .47% to 3 % that is something to watch, especially the high priced rental market. Watch the rental market for the next 6 months- does it stabilize as people go back to work. Remember owners have to pay mortgages/repairs even as tenants are allowed to default.
Good points to remember: only buy what you can afford- don’t speculate. Buy CASH flow properties, remember taxes , insurance and utilities continue to go up. Repairs and good maintenance cost money, and must be done to keep up value. Remember rental properties tend to go down before single family- pockets of weaknesses will begin to occur.
Be aware buying a property takes a lot of time, it can be affected by things you can’t imagine and , pay attention to your local markets.
Still value in home ownership!
It is a time once again, when interest is at an all time low and millions of buyers are taking advantage of the American dream. The housing market in going crazy! Refinance is at an all time high and appraisers can’t work fast enough. That doesn’t mean your value is up. The housing market often runs in tangents with the economy. Believe it or not many believe the economy of America is coming back- there still may be pocket weaknesses- rental markets, flipper market, value market, and now we add security and safety issues to our real estate. Tucson over the years ( 60) has been quiet , growing off and on slowly and spread out. The community is receptive and open to new comers.
Perhaps our problems with Tucson are budget problems- zoning, and management of affordable development. Construction increased nationally at 4.3 % in May and 14% more permits which was a very good number. National trends are very different than ours here in Tucson.
Tucson housing sales numbers increased and were quick to sell if priced correctly- 1% below sales price, 46 days average time on the market. 5.7% increase on a house with a $200,000 list price , 1025 house sold. Nationally the number of homes sold fell 22.7 % and the number of homes listed for sale fell. Interest in single family homes- have popped because of coronavirus- privacy is an important issue, larger home with well designed spaces. Renovations have increased because people are at home more- cooking, and hanging out. Also neighborhoods become important because of privacy, walking areas, biking paths, safety, and other amenities. People are rethinking what they need in a home.
Prices are up because demand is up- however not in all price ranges. We are a post pandemic migration destination city because homeowners realize the value of working remote. Tucson offers a variety of affordable housing, within a variety of locations across the valley where Tucson has expanded. You can get land in the city, horse property, a high rise condo, a duplex to add income, a single family residence in a parklike community, a pueblo adobe, a cabin on Mount Lemmon- just to list a few! We are a diverse cultural community.
Tucson will keep moving in its own cycle different than other areas because of our local interests and needs are different- Tucson has specific buyers!
House Values 2020 BEWARE- COVID
House values in pocketed areas are strong again. Interest is LOW, however the economy is trending downward as we wait for the solutions to the virus. Watch/ wait 6 months from now to see the real affects on the housing market. If you study it you will see lumber, materials, copper, and building are lagging,
Home depot and Lowes are doing well- why you ask? Because people are staying put, repairing and updating because the economy needs to rebalance. Houses may drop, if demand goes soft- it is, relatively speaking, soft now. Beware when buying , get the house you want at the price you want, don’t be emotional, don’t over buy.
This is a difficult time in the market for appraisers too.
We know our market, however open houses, market demand, viewing, and tours are down now because of COVID. It has become another market consideration, it has taken over home buying.
Buyer beware, and educated- watch the sunset a little bit longer right where you are!
Is the Housing Market approaching a Crossroad?
Investors will be watching the markets for signs that the housing market is cooling-there are signs appearing. Data on existing homes and new homes , have showed evidence of slumping. Existing home sales slumped in June, for the fifth time in the first six months of the year, while new-home sales fell in June to the weakest pace in eight months. Those worrying see trends appearing, these are critical indicators of the overall health of the economy, tied into the housing markets.
Home builders have higher costs of materials and labor. Mortgage rates have edged higher- these push some buyers to wait and push first time buyers out of the markets. Home builders are raising costs, but demand MAY go down as prices go up. Existing homes are slowing, even though they offer a better value. There are fewer available homes to purchase as owners stay. Home improvement chains like Home Depot and Lowes are busy as owners upgrade instead of moving.
The projections seem to be an overall slowing market. Inflation will cause your home to go up, but remember you still need to have demand, a buyer that can qualify for a mortgage, and be in an upward mobility community.
This may be the beginning of a slowing housing market, however pricing may continue to climb for a year or two especially if interest goes up slowly. Remember market segments vary from area to area, and city to city due to local demands.
Owning Real Estate learn to think like an accountant!
It is a difficult plan to build immediate cash flow in ownership, it COSTS money, most of the time when people buy real estate as investments they don’t realize the cost of becoming a landlord. Often the money you put into the property does not come back in your pocket- keep itemized records. Between taxes, insurance, utilities and maintenance, often the cash flow just isn’t there. Be aware increased taxes and/or the sale of the property , often brings more losses if not carefully planned. So, at least get some appreciation in the property- buy at the right time, and timing IS everything for a little mom and pop rental business. At the end of the year there should be cash sitting in your rental account checkbook, that is a good time for repairs and capital withdrawal.
Understand your MARKET area. Tucson is volatile and goes soft quickly. Over the years of owning properties , especially after 10 years, (unless you have managed to PAY OFF THE MORTGAGE) the cash flow may get harder. Large repairs begin to occur then. Thinking back over the years with my experience, I almost wonder if it would of been better to sell after ten years- moving into something newer and use my equity to buy more. The more units you have the more cash flow, balancing of vacancies is easier, and perhaps greater equity growth occurs, however more knowledge is needed. Money floating, carry overs, expensive repairs, and income accounting are extremely important in managing your own units. Try to calculate your return on money: if you spend $ 100,000 on a unit can you get a 5% net return? $5000.00 a year. That means after mortgage, utilities, taxes, and expenses. It was EASY with 3% interest rates, now it is way more difficult, because of insurance and taxes.
Real estate appraisers take income, leases, and management into account when looking at the value for a rental property. If you are under rented on your unit your appraisal could be less. If the rental neighborhood property price is less, your property is worth less, even if you have spent a lot in the property. Usually a cost approach is how an appraiser evaluate the value of the property. All costs are evaluated in the cash flow.
Sometimes holding isn’t a good choice if the neighborhood is changing. What is the competition out there? Watch for neighborhood gentrification. Tucson has seen a great deal of change in different areas of the city. Competition is a killer sometimes good, sometimes bad. Areas often change by zip code, where DO students now want to rent? retireres? young families, young professional?
Know your target market and how to be a landlord. Watch your cost on updates- keep them in line with the neighborhood, keep informed of the community, hire people you trust to do repairs, run credit reports, have strong leases that protect you, be an active landlord- it is your job! Never buy a property unless it can cash flow from the beginning.
Remember: What do you expect to get in return for your particular property?
Be an educated buyer!
Ten years ago the worst housing crisis occurred. About 2.5 million American buyers still owe homes worth less than their mortgages. That is about double what a normal housing market carries. Many housing markets around the country are now close to their 2006 values,housing markets however,are hard to image as cyclical. The market timing is everything, be aware of the patterns that happen in your area and how fast and long they occur. Usually they are within 7-8 years.
Each cycle will be affected by the relativity within the particular area- ie, jobs, general economy, government regulations, cost of money, building cycles (different) and area of demand. You can’t control outside factors that control the values of housing only the intrinsic value. Remember when you buy a property it is a huge investment that affects many aspects of your money. The costs of housing often goes up as your mortgage may go down- taxes, insurance, utilities, repairs. Sometimes ownership is NOT always positive , even rentals. The costs outweigh the value. It is a good idea to buy the smallest house in a stable neighborhood, than the biggest house in a declining neighborhood. Be aware of how much money you reinvest in your house- not all of it returns. For instance new windows; no value there, however, cooling costs maybe lower, view better and quieter it makes for a quicker sale. A pool will return 75%, a kitchen 89% and so on. Sweat equity is always a way to big value.
Another words home ownership has changed in the US. Many people like to rent rather than buy, they expect gardeners, midnight keys replacements, plumbing repairs at a phone call, and ften pay late. Many people ARE NOT great tenants or have any pride of ownership. These are the tenants that cost you money- often big money.
Be educated when you buy , keep a reserve of cash for repairs, chose your realtor carefully. The internet is not the place to research, walking the neighborhood is, talking to neighbors, sitting in car and watching what goes on. Understand all the complications of ownership and property management. Understand your escrow, watch the adjustments, and understand your local market and the local economy.
Home Rentals go corporate!
Are you ready to compete with BIG business? Rentals have been taken over in America by corporations and they can compete. The buying spree was a big bet that home ownership was trending downward and the rental market looked good for take over.Currently home ownership is at a five-decade LOW and will stay that way for awhile as rents continue to rise. Investors are also wagering that many people no longer see home ownership as an essential part of the American dream- specially the mellinnials. People are realizing houses are NOT necessarily the best way way to gain wealth.
For many years the rental home business was owned by mom and pop and small business investors, most of whom owned one or two properties. Big investment firms concentrated on other types of property- that all changed in 2008 and the financial crisis. Swaths of suburbia were sold on courthouse steps- big investors were there waiting too- with lots of cash to make quick deals. Big investors accumulated thousands of houses across the country, they built renovation companies, property management firms, and other companies that could be directly related to the rental business. Bulk buying brought millions of properties back to life in good neighborhoods that could be affordable to buy, but easy to rent. Many companies now offer an “aspirational living experience”. Change has quietly come to the rental market and few see it. It has become harder to manage small properties to compete with floating cash from big corporations. Approximately 200,000 homes are corporate rentals since 2010, with the top market in the country for rentals being Atlanta with 24,075 probably more now. Phoenix is third with 13,300. Tucson’s market has changed too , especially since money is still cheap, investors are STILL buying and the prices are softening in specific areas. Watch for signs, rental signs stay up year round. People start to place many ads in several locations, people stop putting money into their properties in certain areas. These are visable signs, rents go up at first like crazy, unreal – then a lull- then begin to drop unless you are in a community with a lot of jobs to support higher prices. Average increase in rents is 3.5 % a year for tenants renewing and larger for new tenants. It is always a cycle weather you realize it or not a 7 year housing cycle. Then absorption begins, we are not there yet in Tucson.
Think carefully about who is going to manage the properties and how much CASH FLOW really exists. You are in BIG business now.